Time value of money in Discrete Time series
Ever wondered how Banks calculate Annual Payments? (Without considering Annual Income of an Individual)This section illustrates the method to calculate annual equal payments for n number of years required to pay $A sum at annual interest rate R. Without using excel files and heavy calculations.
For example: You are borrowing $300,000 to buy a house (at year zero) and you sign a loan contract which fixes the interest rate at 5% per annum and you pay 30 annual equal payments (from year 1 to year 30). What is the amount of money you have to pay each year?
Let's first illustrate the annual payments, with assumption that the equal annual payment/installment is '$X'.
We know that sum (S) of discrete series (geometric) is given by the formula :
S= (1-BT+1)/
(1-B) (Proof is shown at end of this section)
In this case B= 1/(1+r)= 1/(1+0.05) = 1/1.05
Now taking 'X' and '1/(1.05)' out the bracket, the series becomes:
(X/1.05)[1+(1/1.05)+ (1/1.05)2)+ (1/1.05)3+ (1/1.05)4+
(1/1.05)5……………+(1/1.05)29]= $300,000
After converting the sum inside the bracket as per the formula we
can write:
[X/ (1.05)]*[ (1-(1/1.05)30)/(1-(1/1.05))] = $300,000
So value of annual installment ($X) = ($300,000/[ (1-(1/1.05)30)/(1-(1/1.05))])*1.05 = $19,515.4
This means you will have to pay $19,515.4 as annual installments for $300,000 to be paid in 30 years at 5% annual interest rate.
Proof
of the Summation formula:
Let, 'S' be the sum
of discrete series 'B'
S= 1+B+B2+ B3+B4+B5+B6 …………………….BT (i)
Now multiply both the sides by B, so the series becomes
SB= B+B2+ B3+B4+B5+B6 …………………….BT+1 (ii)
Now Subtract (ii) from (i)
S-SB= 1- BT+1
S= 1+B+B2+ B3+B4+B5+B6 …………………….BT (i)
SB= B+B2+ B3+B4+B5+B6 …………………….BT+1 (ii)
Now Subtract (ii) from (i)
S-SB= 1- BT+1
Finally, the Sum of discrete series 'B' is given by the formula.
S= (1-BT+1)/ (1-B)
S= (1-BT+1)/ (1-B)
(It is also
possible to calculate in excel, but if you remember this formula you can
calculate summation of discrete number upto any length without having to drag
the excel cell)
# Techniques covered in blog posts labelled AED are taught in courses Mathematics for Applied Economics, and Applied Economics Dynamics offered at Crawford School of Public Policy @ The Australian National University.
This article is very helpful and interesting to read. Thank you for sharing!
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